Predictions, Election 2008

by folkbum

Yesterday, I offered six questions in a contest (don't forget to enter!). Here are my predictions:

1. Who will win the presidential election? Obama-Biden
2. What will be the electoral college outcome? Obama 338-McCain 200
3. What will be the partisan split in the House? D251-R184
4. What will be the partisan split in the US Senate? D57-R41-I2
5. What will be the partisan split in the Wisconsin State Assembly? D50-R48-I1*
6. What will be the partisan split in the Wisconsin State Senate? D19-R14
7. Tiebreaker: At what time will the AP call the presidential election? 9:16 PM CST--though it will be obvious long before that.

* The obsessive among you will note that this differs from my January 1 prediction that control of the Wisconsin State Assembly would not change parties. That was before it was clear the top of the ticket would do Republicans no favors this year--close races are more likely to go Dem now than they seemed in January.