Contest

by folkbum

My readership has grown now to encompass legions scores enough of you that a contest might be fun. So here's the dilly, yo:

1. Who will win the presidential election?
2. What will be the electoral college outcome? (In 2004, it was Bush 286-Kerry 252. You can use the map at 270towin.com, but don't forget that there are electoral votes in Maine and Nebraska that might be awarded to the winners in different CDs instead of statewide. That map doesn't seem to account for those.)
3. What will be the partisan split in the House? (Currently, it's D235-R199 with one vacancy)
4. What will be the partisan split in the US Senate? (Currently, it's D49-R49 with two independents; count Lieberman as an independent, please)
5. What will be the partisan split in the Wisconsin State Assembly? (Currently it's R51-D47 with one independent; if you think Jeff Wood will win, count him as an independent, not a Republican, please)
6. What will be the partisan split in the Wisconsin State Senate? (Currently, it's D18-R15)

As a tie-breaker, if needed: At what time will the AP call the presidential election (please use CST)?

The person who gets the most of these answers right will win a copy of Matt Taibbi's The Great Derangement. Chapter two of that book ought to replace the "how a bill becomes law" section of every single American Government textbook in the country. It is enough to make anyone, Republican or Democrat, liberal or conservative, weep with painful sorrow at the loss of representative democracy in America.

I will offer my predictions tomorrow. The contest closes at 12:00 AM CST on November 4 (i.e., the end of the day Monday, November 3). You may submit your guesses in the open forum of the comments below, or email them to me at folkbum@hotmail.com.