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Pay no attention to the people behind the curtain

Tuesday, October 28, 2008

Predictions, Election 2008

by folkbum

Yesterday, I offered six questions in a contest (don't forget to enter!). Here are my predictions:
  1. Who will win the presidential election? Obama-Biden
  2. What will be the electoral college outcome? Obama 338-McCain 200
  3. What will be the partisan split in the House? D251-R184
  4. What will be the partisan split in the US Senate? D57-R41-I2
  5. What will be the partisan split in the Wisconsin State Assembly? D50-R48-I1*
  6. What will be the partisan split in the Wisconsin State Senate? D19-R14
  7. Tiebreaker: At what time will the AP call the presidential election? 9:16 PM CST--though it will be obvious long before that.
* The obsessive among you will note that this differs from my January 1 prediction that control of the Wisconsin State Assembly would not change parties. That was before it was clear the top of the ticket would do Republicans no favors this year--close races are more likely to go Dem now than they seemed in January.

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