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Pay no attention to the people behind the curtain

Tuesday, December 20, 2005

People get tax bills, get happy

Or at least, that's what the poll numbers seem to say. Wisconsin Governor Jim Doyle (AKA J-Dizzle, peeps) has seen an utter reversal in the lastest monthly installment of SurveyUSA's tracking poll. Wisconsinites now approve of the Dizzle by a margin of 48%-44%. Here's the pretty picture:

As we noted last month, since SUSA started the poll in May, there has been basically just staistical noise, with J-Dizzle's negatives generally topping his positives but all within a small band of four or five points either way. This is the first time, however, that the positives have been higher, and the only reason I can think why this may be true--it certainly isn't because the Packers are putting us in a good mood--is that Doyle actually did generally hold the line on property taxes. (See Xoff for more on that.)

Again, in the breakout numbers, the Dizzle has room to improve among self-identified "liberals" and "Democrats," as well as lots of ground to gain among "moderates" and "Independents." But what's encouraging is that among those on the left, the numbers are a lot better than they were last month, with only 29% of "liberals" disapproving, and 26% of "Democrats." If those numbers keep going down, with some more spare headway in the middle, then this may not be as close an election as people thought.

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