Me vs. Reality
Results here.
20th Senate District
Me:  "Mary Panzer is going to walk away with it.  I predict she gets at least 60% of the vote, if not more."
Reality:  Grothman 79%, Panzer 21% (with 93% reporting)
WRONG!
(No word yet on Elysse.)
5th Congressional District
Me:  "I'm predicting Kennedy by at least 10% over challenger Gary Kohlenberg."
Reality:  Kennedy 72%, Kohlenberg 28%
CORRECT!
4th Congressional District, Democrat
Me:  "I will predict no more than a mere 12 or 15-point spread between the three, but I can't say who'll come out on top."
Reality:  Moore 65%, Flynn 25%, Carpenter 10%
WRONG!
4th Congressional District, Republican
Me:  "Corey Hoze will beat Gerald Boyle easy in the Republican primary."
Reality:  Boyle 53%, Hoze 47%
WRONG!
Republican Senate Primary
Me:  " My prediction:  Michels 35%, Darrow 33%, Welch 24%, and Lorge 8%."
Reality:  Michels 43% Darrow 30% Welch 23% Lorge 4%
CORRECT!
Two for five isn't great, but I beat Owen on the Senate prediction, and that makes my day.
Tuesday, September 14, 2004
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