And it's Kerry by three lengths

Or so says mindgeek, who puts Kerry at between 270-322 electoral votes--98 out of 100 times with a 95% probability. All the meta-poll data and methodology (for the smarty pantses among you), as well as a variation on the old johnedwards.com EV map, is here.

The thing is, mindgeek's analysis matches pretty much everybody else's analysis--even that of some prominent Republicans who do that sort of thing.

So, now, complacency. Let's all take the rest of the summer off. (Not really.)